Professor of Economic Policy
Berlin School of Economics and Law (HWR Berlin)

Economist
Federal Chancellery,
Division: Economic Policy; Economic Development; Special Tasks

Economist
Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy,
Division: Monitoring, Analysis and Projection of Macroeconomic Development

Postdoctoral Research Fellow
Department of Economics, Freie Universität Berlin

Teaching and Research Assistant
Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin

Expectations Management of Central Banks (CRC 649: Economic Risk, Project Area C14)

European Central Bank, Monetary Policy Strategy Division

Department of Economics, Universität Regensburg

CRC 649: Economic Risk, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin

Federal Ministry of Finance

2018

Habilitation (Economics, Focus: Applied Econometrics)
Freie Universität Berlin

Committee: Dieter Nautz, Helmut Lütkepohl, Mathias Trabandt, Sven Schreiber

2013

Ph.D. in Economics (Dr. rer. pol.)
Freie Universität Berlin

Doctoral Committee: Dieter Nautz, Helmut Lütkepohl, Enzo Weber, Jürgen Wolters

Freie Universität Berlin

Universität Regensburg

Freie Universität Berlin

Université Pierre Mendès France

Freie Universität Berlin

• Time Series Analysis and Frequency Domain Analysis
• Inflation Expectations Anchoring
• Term Structure of Interest Rates
• Financial Cycle and Business Cycle
• Forecasting

• Andreini, P., Hasenzagl, T., Reichlin, L., Senftleben-König, C., Strohsal, T. (2023): Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign Factors, Financial Markets and Model Averaging, International Journal of Forecasting, 39, 298-313. link
• Zhen, Z., Weber, E., Strohsal, T., Serhan, D. (2021): Sustainable Border Control Policy in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Math Modeling Study, Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 41, May–June. link
• Strohsal, T., Wolf, E. (2020): Data Revisions to German National Accounts: Are Initial Releases Good Nowcasts?, International Journal of Forecasting, 36, 1252-1259. link
• Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis, Journal of Banking & Finance, 106, 568-591. link (replication file)
• Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): Assessing the Cross-Country Interaction of Financial Cycles: Evidence from a Multivariate Spectral Analysis of the USA and UK, Empirical Economics, 57, 385-398. link
• Nautz, D., Strohsal, T., Netsunajev A. (2019): The Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Short and in the Long Run, Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23, 1959-1977. link
• Melnick, R., Strohsal, T. (2017): Disinflation in Steps and the Phillips Curve: Israel 1986-2015, Journal of Macroeconomics, 53, 145-161. link
• Strohsal, T. (2017): Bond Yields and Debt Supply: New Evidence through the Lens of a Preferred-Habitat Model, Quantitative Finance, 17, 1509-1522. link
• Nautz, D., Pagenhardt, L., Strohsal, T. (2017): The (De-)Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from the Euro Area, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 40, 103-115. link
• Strohsal, T., Melnick, R., Nautz, D. (2016): The Time-Varying Degree of Inflation Expectations Anchoring, Journal of Macroeconomics, 48, 62-71. link
• Strohsal, T., Winkelmann, L. (2015): Assessing the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations, Journal of International Money and Finance, 50, 33-48. link
• Nautz, D., Strohsal, T. (2015): Are US Inflation Expectations Re-Anchored?, Economics Letters, 127, 6-9. link
• Strohsal, T., Weber, E. (2015): Time-Varying International Stock Market Interaction and the Identification of Volatility Signals, Journal of Banking & Finance, 56, 28-36. link
• Strohsal, T., Weber, E. (2014): Mean-Variance Cointegration and the Expectations Hypothesis, Quantitative Finance, 16(3), 1983-1997. link